01

Short answer

A balloon defers principal to the end. Compare total interest, final balance and expected net sale proceeds, and document how a shortfall would be financed.

02

Important variables

  • Equal holding period and mileage
  • Net sale proceeds and contract cost
  • Energy, maintenance and insurance
  • Liquidity and finance rate
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03

Worked example

With an €18,000 balloon and €15,000 net sale proceeds, €3,000 is missing. This is additional liquidity need, not a theoretical residual.

04

Break-even: What changes the result?

Test the main driver as a cautious, central and optimistic range. Also check whether the ranking reverses at a crossover or remains robust across the range.

05

Common mistakes

  • Comparing monthly payments only
  • Treating resale as certain
  • Omitting one-offs or mileage
07

Sources & assumptions

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