01

Short answer

Nobody knows the future sale price. Use several plausible scenarios and calculate the appreciation required for renting and buying to finish level.

02

Important variables

  • Nominal local appreciation
  • Quality, location and maintenance
  • Selling cost
  • Inflation and alternative return
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03

Worked example

Two percent annual growth takes €480,000 to roughly €646,000 after 15 years. Selling cost and remaining debt must be deducted before net equity exists.

04

Break-even: What changes the result?

A longer hold spreads one-off transaction cost. Higher investment return favours renting; higher property appreciation favours buying.

05

Common mistakes

  • Applying a national average to one home
  • Mixing nominal and real values
  • Forgetting selling cost
  • Treating growth as guaranteed
06

Terms in this guide

07

Sources & assumptions

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