Short answer
Calculate the amortisation schedule to the end of the fixed-rate period. Remaining debt determines refinancing risk; test higher, equal and lower follow-on rates as scenarios.
Important variables
- Price, rent and holding period
- Rate, principal and remaining balance
- Buying, maintenance and selling cost
- Appreciation and alternative return
Worked example
If €250,000 remains after ten years, a follow-on rate rising from 3% to 5% initially adds about €417 monthly interest.
Break-even: What changes the result?
Test the main driver as a cautious, central and optimistic range. Also check whether the ranking reverses at a crossover or remains robust across the range.
Common mistakes
- Comparing mortgage payment directly with rent
- Omitting transaction cost or remaining debt
- Treating appreciation as guaranteed
Sources & assumptions
- Deutsche Bundesbank — Bank Lending Survey Germany, July 2026 (2026-08-17)
- RATIOXA — Methodology and formulas (2026-08-17)
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